La Liga
April 21, 2026
Real Madrid
19:30
VS
Alaves
Predicted score
Real Madrid 4+
61% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, April 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
61%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#2
Played27
Points63
PPG2.33
Goal Diff33
W
L
L
W
W
Alaves
16#Rank
27Played
27Points
1.0PPG
-12Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
35.4%
3-0
12.3%
8.11
2-0
11.8%
8.45
3-1
7.8%
12.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.23
NO
55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Madrid
71% · 1.41
Draw
26% · 3.82
Alaves
3% · 34.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4
Under 29% · 3.48
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.13
Under 12% · 8.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.01
Under 50% · 1.99
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
L
L
W
W
Alaves
L
L
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Real Madrid
Stat
Alaves
3.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#2
League Pos.
#16
63 pts
Points
27 pts
2.33
Points / Game
1.0
+33
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Real Madrid
Draw
Alaves
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
H
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
A
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.