Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Real Jaén

Real Jaén

20
FT
Xerez

Xerez

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Real Jaén
Rank#7
Played28
Points45
PPG1.61
Goal Diff6
L W D W W
Xerez
1#Rank
28Played
51Points
1.82PPG
9Goal Diff
W W W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.1%
6.61
1-1
13.0%
7.69
0-0
12.0%
8.35
0-1
10.3%
9.71
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.42
NO 59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Jaén 31% · 3.18
Draw 35% · 2.83
Xerez 33% · 3.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.67
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.05 Under 83% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Jaén Real Jaén
L W D W W
Xerez Xerez
W W W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Real Jaén
Stat
Xerez
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#7
League Pos.
#1
45 pts
Points
51 pts
1.61
Points / Game
1.82
+6
Goal Diff.
+9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Real Jaén
Draw
Xerez
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
30 14 11 5 +12 53
2
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
29 15 7 7 +11 52
3
Xerez Xerez A
29 15 6 8 +7 51
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
30 14 9 7 +17 51
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
29 15 5 9 +12 50
6
Águilas Águilas
29 14 7 8 +13 49
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén H
30 13 9 8 +7 48
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
29 12 7 10 +0 43
9
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
30 10 13 7 -3 43
10
Yeclano Yeclano
30 12 4 14 +0 40
11
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
30 11 6 13 +0 39
12
Antoniano Antoniano
30 11 6 13 -3 39
13
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
29 8 10 11 -4 34
14
Estepona Estepona
29 9 6 14 -7 33
15
Puente Genil Puente Genil
29 8 9 12 -9 33
16
Melilla Melilla
29 7 11 11 +0 32
17
Almería II Almería II
29 4 7 18 -23 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II
30 4 5 21 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record