Primera División RFEF - Group 1
April 5, 2026
Real Avilés
18:30
VS
Ourense CF
Predicted score
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Real Avilés
Rank#16
Played30
Points34
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-9
L
D
D
L
D
Ourense CF
15#Rank
30Played
34Points
1.13PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
D
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.31
1-0
10.5%
9.57
2-1
9.3%
10.79
2-0
8.1%
12.42
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.86
NO
46% · 2.16
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Avilés
32% · 3.15
Draw
33% · 3.01
Ourense CF
35% · 2.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.98
Under 50% · 2.02
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 3.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.53
Under 72% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Avilés
L
D
D
L
D
Ourense CF
D
D
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Real Avilés
Stat
Ourense CF
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#16
League Pos.
#15
34 pts
Points
34 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.13
-9
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
5 W
Real Avilés
Draw
Ourense CF
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Zamora
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +1 | 45 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 16 |
Ourense CF
A
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 17 |
Real Avilés
H
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.