Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 January 31, 2026
Real Avilés

Real Avilés

12
FT
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

We predicted

0-0 61% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 31 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 61%
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Avilés 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Mérida AD 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Real Avilés
Stat
Mérida AD
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
28 14 8 6 +8 50
3
Barakaldo Barakaldo
28 11 10 7 +9 43
4
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
28 12 7 9 +0 43
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
27 10 12 5 +12 42
6
Zamora Zamora
28 11 9 8 +5 42
7
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
28 12 6 10 +2 42
8
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
28 12 5 11 +1 41
9
Lugo Lugo
28 10 11 7 +0 41
10
Ponferradina Ponferradina
28 11 7 10 +5 40
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD A
28 11 7 10 -1 40
12
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
28 10 8 10 +1 38
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
27 10 4 13 -7 34
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés H
28 9 6 13 -8 33
15
Ourense CF Ourense CF
28 8 8 12 -2 32
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
28 8 7 13 -11 31
17
CF Talavera CF Talavera
28 8 6 14 -9 30
18
Cacereño Cacereño
28 6 11 11 -11 29
19
Arenteiro Arenteiro
28 6 7 15 -11 25
20
Osasuna II Osasuna II
28 5 9 14 -15 24

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record