La Liga La Liga March 4, 2026
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

30
FT
Oviedo

Oviedo

We predicted

1-0 24% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#18
Played22
Points22
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L L L W D
Oviedo
20#Rank
22Played
16Points
0.73PPG
-22Goal Diff
W L L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.9%
8.44
1-1
11.8%
8.45
2-0
9.6%
10.46
2-1
9.6%
10.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.98
NO 49% · 2.02
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano 52% · 1.94
Draw 25% · 4.02
Oviedo 23% · 4.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.07 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.76 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
L L L W D
Oviedo Oviedo
W L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Oviedo
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#18
League Pos.
#20
22 pts
Points
16 pts
1.0
Points / Game
0.73
-12
Goal Diff.
-22

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
3 D
0 W
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Oviedo
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
30 25 1 4 +51 76
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
30 22 3 5 +36 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
30 17 6 7 +20 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
30 11 12 7 +7 45
6
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
30 11 11 8 +7 44
7
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
30 11 8 11 +1 41
8
Getafe Getafe
30 12 5 13 -4 41
9
Osasuna Osasuna
30 10 8 12 -1 38
10
Espanyol Espanyol
30 10 8 12 -8 38
11
Athletic Club Athletic Club
30 11 5 14 -11 38
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano H
30 8 11 11 -6 35
13
Valencia Valencia
30 9 8 13 -11 35
14
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
15
Alaves Alaves
30 8 8 14 -11 32
16
Mallorca Mallorca
30 8 7 15 -12 31
17
Sevilla Sevilla
30 8 7 15 -13 31
18
Elche Elche
30 6 11 13 -9 29
19
Levante Levante
30 6 8 16 -16 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo A
30 5 9 16 -27 24

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record