La Liga
April 23, 2026
Rayo Vallecano
18:00
VS
Espanyol
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 23 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#13
Played27
Points31
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-6
D
W
D
D
W
Espanyol
7#Rank
27Played
37Points
1.37PPG
-6Goal Diff
D
D
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.0%
7.15
2-0
12.8%
7.84
Rayo Vallecano 4+
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
9.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.27
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
52% · 1.93
Draw
27% · 3.65
Espanyol
21% · 4.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11
Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38
Under 27% · 3.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.91
Under 74% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
D
D
W
Espanyol
D
D
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Espanyol
1.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#13
League Pos.
#7
31 pts
Points
37 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.37
-6
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Espanyol
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Espanyol
A
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
H
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.