La Liga
April 3, 2026
Rayo Vallecano
19:00
VS
Elche
Predicted score
Rayo Vallecano 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Rayo Vallecano
Rank#13
Played27
Points31
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-6
D
W
D
D
W
Elche
17#Rank
27Played
26Points
0.96PPG
-6Goal Diff
L
D
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Rayo Vallecano 4+
14.3%
2-0
12.9%
7.75
1-0
12.7%
7.86
2-1
9.6%
10.4
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.19
NO
54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Rayo Vallecano
58% · 1.71
Draw
30% · 3.33
Elche
12% · 8.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92
Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.22
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.35
Under 70% · 1.43
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
D
D
W
Elche
L
D
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Rayo Vallecano
Stat
Elche
2.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#13
League Pos.
#17
31 pts
Points
26 pts
1.15
Points / Game
0.96
-6
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Elche
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
28 | 23 | 1 | 4 | +49 | 70 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 66 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 57 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | +18 | 55 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | +8 | 44 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +7 | 41 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 |
Espanyol
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 |
Getafe
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 |
Rayo Vallecano
H
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 28 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 |
Elche
A
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -9 | 26 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -16 | 23 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -26 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.