Primera División RFEF - Group 1
February 7, 2026
Racing Ferrol
1–1
FT
Lugo
We predicted
0-0
62% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
0-0
|
Actual
1–1
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
Racing Ferrol
Rank#7
Played22
Points33
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L
W
L
L
L
Lugo
9#Rank
22Played
32Points
1.45PPG
1Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Racing Ferrol
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Lugo
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Racing Ferrol
L
W
L
L
L
Lugo
L
W
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Racing Ferrol
Stat
Lugo
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#7
League Pos.
#9
33 pts
Points
32 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.45
+1
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
2 W
Racing Ferrol
Draw
Lugo
8
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Zamora
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 7 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
A
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +1 | 45 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 |
Racing Ferrol
H
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 15 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 16 |
Ourense CF
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 17 |
Real Avilés
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.