Primera Nacional Primera Nacional March 14, 2026
Quilmes

Quilmes

30
FT
Patronato

Patronato

We predicted

1-0 42% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Quilmes
Rank#15
Played34
Points38
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-2
L D D L D
Patronato
8#Rank
34Played
48Points
1.41PPG
3Goal Diff
L D D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
22.3%
4.49
0-0
19.6%
5.1
2-0
12.7%
7.9
1-1
11.0%
9.1
Both Teams To Score
YES 26% · 3.78
NO 74% · 1.36
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Quilmes 35% · 2.85
Draw 37% · 2.68
Patronato 28% · 3.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.46 Under 78% · 1.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.06 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
92%
Over 8% · 12.08 Under 92% · 1.09

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Quilmes Quilmes
L D D L D
Patronato Patronato
L D D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Quilmes
Stat
Patronato
1.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.49
#15
League Pos.
#8
38 pts
Points
48 pts
1.12
Points / Game
1.41
-2
Goal Diff.
+3

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record