UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League February 18, 2026
Qarabag

Qarabag

16
FT
Newcastle

Newcastle

We predicted

Qarabag 4+ 27% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, February 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Qarabag 4+
|
Actual 1–6

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Qarabag
Rank#22
Played8
Points10
PPG1.25
Goal Diff-8
L W L L D
Newcastle
12#Rank
8Played
14Points
1.75PPG
10Goal Diff
D W D L W
Most Likely Scores
Qarabag 4+
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
10.75
1-1
9.2%
10.82
2-2
6.7%
14.99
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.52
NO 34% · 2.93
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Qarabag 51% · 1.97
Draw 22% · 4.61
Newcastle 27% · 3.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17 Under 14% · 7.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23 Under 55% · 1.81

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Qarabag Qarabag
L W L L D
Newcastle Newcastle
D W D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Qarabag
Stat
Newcastle
2.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#22
League Pos.
#12
10 pts
Points
14 pts
1.25
Points / Game
1.75
-8
Goal Diff.
+10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Qarabag
Draw
Newcastle
12 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record