Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 21, 2026
Puebla Calzada

Puebla Calzada

12
FT
Villafranca

Villafranca

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Puebla Calzada
Rank#13
Played26
Points32
PPG1.23
Goal Diff-7
L W L D W
Villafranca
9#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
-1Goal Diff
W L D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.01
1-0
12.1%
8.26
2-1
9.1%
10.99
2-0
8.8%
11.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.03
NO 51% · 1.97
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Puebla Calzada 32% · 3.11
Draw 34% · 2.96
Villafranca 34% · 2.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.45
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.18 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
L W L D W
Villafranca Villafranca
W L D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Puebla Calzada
Stat
Villafranca
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#13
League Pos.
#9
32 pts
Points
36 pts
1.23
Points / Game
1.38
-7
Goal Diff.
-1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
27 16 7 4 +36 55
2
Moralo Moralo
27 15 9 4 +20 53
3
Badajoz Badajoz
27 16 5 6 +17 50
4
Azuaga Azuaga
27 14 7 6 +14 49
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
27 13 9 5 +21 48
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
27 11 12 4 +13 45
7
Villanovense Villanovense
27 11 8 8 +5 41
8
Villafranca Villafranca A
27 11 6 10 +0 39
9
Jerez Jerez
27 7 15 5 +9 36
10
Llerenense Llerenense
27 10 5 12 -5 35
11
Montijo Montijo
27 9 6 12 -3 33
12
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada H
27 7 12 9 -8 32
13
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
27 9 6 13 -12 32
14
Gévora Gévora
27 6 8 13 -15 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
26 4 9 13 -22 21
16
Calamonte Calamonte
27 3 11 13 -13 20
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
27 4 8 16 -27 20
18
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
26 4 5 17 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record