Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 April 2, 2026
Puebla Calzada

Puebla Calzada

02
FT
Moralo

Moralo

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Puebla Calzada
Rank#12
Played28
Points32
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-9
L L L W L
Moralo
2#Rank
28Played
53Points
1.89PPG
19Goal Diff
L W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.89
1-0
10.3%
9.71
0-1
9.6%
10.44
2-1
8.4%
11.93
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.93
NO 48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Puebla Calzada 23% · 4.29
Draw 36% · 2.78
Moralo 41% · 2.46
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
L L L W L
Moralo Moralo
L W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Puebla Calzada
Stat
Moralo
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#12
League Pos.
#2
32 pts
Points
53 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.89
-9
Goal Diff.
+19

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo A
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada H
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record