Liga III - Serie 4 Liga III - Serie 4 March 14, 2026
Progresul Mogosoaia

Progresul Mogosoaia

20
FT
Valenii de Munte

Valenii de Munte

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Progresul Mogosoaia
Rank#8
Played19
Points21
PPG1.11
Goal Diff-3
W L D L W
Valenii de Munte
4#Rank
19Played
27Points
1.42PPG
-4Goal Diff
W D L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.1%
8.99
2-1
9.4%
10.64
Progresul Mogosoaia 4+
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
11.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.7
NO 41% · 2.43
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Progresul Mogosoaia 32% · 3.1
Draw 32% · 3.09
Valenii de Munte 35% · 2.82
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26 Under 20% · 4.89
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.9 Under 66% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Progresul Mogosoaia Progresul Mogosoaia
W L D L W
Valenii de Munte Valenii de Munte
W D L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Progresul Mogosoaia
Stat
Valenii de Munte
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.28
#8
League Pos.
#4
21 pts
Points
27 pts
1.11
Points / Game
1.42
-3
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw
Valenii de Munte
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flacăra Moreni Flacăra Moreni
20 15 4 1 +34 49
2
Ştefăneşti Ştefăneşti
20 13 4 3 +21 43
3
Olimpic Zărneşti Olimpic Zărneşti
20 11 6 3 +19 39
4
Valenii de Munte Valenii de Munte A
20 7 6 7 -6 27
5
Urban Titu Urban Titu
20 7 5 8 -3 26
6
Tricolorul Breaza Tricolorul Breaza
20 7 4 9 -10 25
7
Baicoi Baicoi
20 6 7 7 -4 25
8
Progresul Mogosoaia Progresul Mogosoaia H
20 7 3 10 -1 24
9
Săcele Săcele
20 6 4 10 -10 22
10
Kids Tâmpa Braşov Kids Tâmpa Braşov
20 5 4 11 -13 19
11
Voința Crevedia Voința Crevedia
20 5 4 11 -12 19
12
Pucioasa Pucioasa
20 5 1 14 -15 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record