Serie D Serie D April 4, 2026
Pouso Alegre

Pouso Alegre

20
FT
Madureira

Madureira

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Pouso Alegre
Rank#6
Played14
Points17
PPG1.21
Goal Diff-5
L L W L D
Madureira
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.2%
6.16
0-0
15.4%
6.51
1-1
13.3%
7.55
0-1
12.5%
7.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.75
NO 64% · 1.57
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pouso Alegre 38% · 2.65
Draw 32% · 3.09
Madureira 30% · 3.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.46 Under 71% · 1.41
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79 Under 44% · 2.27
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.29 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
L L W L D
Madureira Madureira
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Pouso Alegre
Stat
Madureira
1.06
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#6
League Pos.
17 pts
Points
– pts
1.21
Points / Game
-5
Goal Diff.
+

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Pouso Alegre
Draw
Madureira
2 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record