Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 21, 2026
Pontevedra
15:15
VS
Ourense CF
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Pontevedra
Rank#5
Played27
Points42
PPG1.56
Goal Diff12
D
D
D
L
D
Ourense CF
15#Rank
28Played
32Points
1.14PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.1%
6.62
1-1
12.4%
8.09
2-0
10.8%
9.25
0-0
10.6%
9.46
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.35
NO
58% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pontevedra
35% · 2.87
Draw
34% · 2.92
Ourense CF
31% · 3.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.57
Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.27
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Pontevedra
D
D
D
L
D
Ourense CF
D
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Pontevedra
Stat
Ourense CF
1.43
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#5
League Pos.
#15
42 pts
Points
32 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.14
+12
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Pontevedra
Draw
Ourense CF
5
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 50 |
| 3 |
Barakaldo
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 43 |
| 4 |
Athletic Club II
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 43 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
H
|
27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 42 |
| 6 |
Zamora
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 |
Real Madrid II
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |
Racing Ferrol
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Lugo
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +0 | 41 |
| 10 |
Ponferradina
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +5 | 40 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 |
Ourense CF
A
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |
CF Talavera
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 |
Arenteiro
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 |
Osasuna II
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -15 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.