Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 April 4, 2026
Pontevedra

Pontevedra

20
FT
Barakaldo

Barakaldo

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Pontevedra
Rank#9
Played29
Points43
PPG1.48
Goal Diff11
L D D D D
Barakaldo
3#Rank
30Played
47Points
1.57PPG
10Goal Diff
W D W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.99
1-1
12.9%
7.76
0-0
10.8%
9.26
0-1
9.7%
10.28
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.29
NO 56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pontevedra 42% · 2.39
Draw 31% · 3.24
Barakaldo 27% · 3.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.6 Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.87
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.39 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pontevedra Pontevedra
L D D D D
Barakaldo Barakaldo
W D W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Pontevedra
Stat
Barakaldo
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#9
League Pos.
#3
43 pts
Points
47 pts
1.48
Points / Game
1.57
+11
Goal Diff.
+10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Pontevedra
Draw
Barakaldo
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo A
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra H
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Zamora Zamora
30 12 10 8 +6 46
7
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
30 11 12 7 +1 45
9
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
10
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
11
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
12
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
30 11 8 11 +1 41
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
29 11 5 13 -6 38
14
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
15
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
16
Ourense CF Ourense CF
30 8 10 12 -2 34
17
Real Avilés Real Avilés
30 9 7 14 -9 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
30 6 9 15 -15 27
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
30 6 8 16 -13 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record