1st Division
April 4, 2026
Pogradeci
5–1
FT
Kastrioti Krujë
We predicted
Pogradeci 4+
41% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Pogradeci 4+
|
Actual
5–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Pogradeci 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Pogradeci
Rank#3
Played28
Points61
PPG2.18
Goal Diff29
W
W
W
W
W
Kastrioti Krujë
5#Rank
28Played
36Points
1.29PPG
-6Goal Diff
L
W
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Pogradeci 4+
16.3%
2-0
11.1%
8.99
1-0
10.4%
9.64
2-1
9.9%
10.09
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.92
NO
48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogradeci
60% · 1.68
Draw
32% · 3.15
Kastrioti Krujë
9% · 11.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81
Under 64% · 1.55
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Pogradeci
W
W
W
W
W
Kastrioti Krujë
L
W
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Pogradeci
Stat
Kastrioti Krujë
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#3
League Pos.
#5
61 pts
Points
36 pts
2.18
Points / Game
1.29
+29
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Pogradeci
Draw
Kastrioti Krujë
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Skenderbeu Korce
|
29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | +28 | 70 |
| 2 |
Laci
|
29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | +32 | 67 |
| 3 |
Pogradeci
H
|
29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | +33 | 64 |
| 4 |
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -4 | 38 |
| 5 |
Kastrioti Krujë
A
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -10 | 36 |
| 6 |
Burreli
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -16 | 33 |
| 7 |
Korabi Peshkopi
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 |
Besa Kavajë
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 |
FK Kukesi
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -15 | 27 |
| 10 |
Apolonia Fier
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 26 |
| 11 |
Lushnja
|
29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 |
Luftëtari
|
28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.