1st Division 1st Division March 18, 2026
Pogradeci

Pogradeci

30
FT
Iliria Fushë-Krujë

Iliria Fushë-Krujë

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Pogradeci
Rank#3
Played26
Points55
PPG2.12
Goal Diff23
W W W W W
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
4#Rank
26Played
37Points
1.42PPG
0Goal Diff
W D D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.07
2-0
11.8%
8.48
1-1
11.3%
8.82
2-1
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.24
NO 55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pogradeci 53% · 1.9
Draw 33% · 3.07
Iliria Fushë-Krujë 15% · 6.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pogradeci Pogradeci
W W W W W
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë
W D D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Pogradeci
Stat
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.67
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#3
League Pos.
#4
55 pts
Points
37 pts
2.12
Points / Game
1.42
+23
Goal Diff.
+0

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Skenderbeu Korce Skenderbeu Korce
27 20 4 3 +26 64
2
Laci Laci
27 19 6 2 +30 63
3
Pogradeci Pogradeci H
27 17 7 3 +26 58
4
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë A
27 9 10 8 -3 37
5
Kastrioti Krujë Kastrioti Krujë
27 10 6 11 -4 36
6
Burreli Burreli
27 8 9 10 -11 33
7
Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë
27 8 7 12 -2 31
8
Korabi Peshkopi Korabi Peshkopi
27 7 8 12 -8 29
9
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier
27 6 7 14 -9 25
10
Luftëtari Luftëtari
27 3 13 11 -11 22
11
Lushnja Lushnja
27 4 9 14 -15 21
12
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
27 5 6 16 -19 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record