Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa March 16, 2026
Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

21
FT
Korona Kielce

Korona Kielce

We predicted

Pogon Szczecin 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Pogon Szczecin 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Pogon Szczecin
Rank#14
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-4
L W W W D
Korona Kielce
11#Rank
24Played
33Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
W L L W L
Most Likely Scores
Pogon Szczecin 4+
13.5%
1-1
10.1%
9.95
2-1
10.0%
10.0
1-0
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.81
NO 45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogon Szczecin 54% · 1.86
Draw 31% · 3.24
Korona Kielce 15% · 6.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.37
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.05
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.84 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
L W W W D
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
W L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Pogon Szczecin
Stat
Korona Kielce
1.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.02
#14
League Pos.
#11
31 pts
Points
33 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.38
-4
Goal Diff.
+2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
25 11 8 6 +11 41
2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
25 11 8 6 +10 41
3
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
25 11 8 6 +6 41
4
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
25 11 5 9 +4 38
5
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
25 11 4 10 +2 37
6
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
25 9 9 7 +2 36
7
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
25 11 3 11 +1 36
8
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin H
25 10 4 11 -3 34
9
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
25 8 10 7 -4 34
10
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
25 8 9 8 +4 33
11
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
25 8 9 8 +2 33
12
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce A
25 9 6 10 +1 33
13
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
25 9 5 11 -3 32
14
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
25 10 6 9 +2 31
15
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
25 8 6 11 -16 30
16
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
25 6 11 8 -1 29
17
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
25 8 4 13 -3 28
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
25 5 7 13 -15 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record