I Liga
April 6, 2026
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
17:30
VS
Stal Mielec
Predicted score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Rank#4
Played26
Points42
PPG1.62
Goal Diff6
L
W
L
W
D
Stal Mielec
15#Rank
26Played
23Points
0.88PPG
-16Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4+
16.6%
2-1
9.7%
10.36
1-1
8.9%
11.3
2-0
7.6%
13.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
64% · 1.57
NO
36% · 2.76
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
53% · 1.9
Draw
30% · 3.3
Stal Mielec
17% · 5.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 3.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17
Under 14% · 7.03
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23
Under 55% · 1.81
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
L
W
L
W
D
Stal Mielec
W
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Stat
Stal Mielec
2.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#4
League Pos.
#15
42 pts
Points
23 pts
1.62
Points / Game
0.88
+6
Goal Diff.
-16
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Draw
Stal Mielec
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wisla Krakow
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | +33 | 53 |
| 2 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +11 | 47 |
| 3 |
Chrobry Głogów
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
H
|
26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 42 |
| 5 |
Polonia Warszawa
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +5 | 41 |
| 6 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 |
ŁKS Łódź
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |
Wieczysta Kraków
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 40 |
| 9 |
Miedz Legnica
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 39 |
| 10 |
Stal Rzeszów
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 |
Polonia Bytom
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 36 |
| 12 |
Puszcza Niepołomice
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | +3 | 35 |
| 13 |
Odra Opole
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -7 | 31 |
| 14 |
Pogoń Siedlce
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 |
Stal Mielec
A
|
26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 |
Znicz Pruszków
|
27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 |
Górnik Łęczna
|
26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 20 |
| 18 |
Tychy 71
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -29 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.