I Liga I Liga March 14, 2026
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

32
FT
Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

We predicted

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4+
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Rank#5
Played24
Points39
PPG1.63
Goal Diff8
L W D D D
Polonia Warszawa
4#Rank
24Played
40Points
1.67PPG
6Goal Diff
L W W D W
Most Likely Scores
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4+
11.2%
1-1
10.2%
9.8
2-1
9.5%
10.54
1-0
7.6%
13.09
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 44% · 2.28
Draw 28% · 3.62
Polonia Warszawa 29% · 3.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62 Under 38% · 2.62
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.53 Under 61% · 1.65

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
L W D D D
Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa
L W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Stat
Polonia Warszawa
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.34
#5
League Pos.
#4
39 pts
Points
40 pts
1.63
Points / Game
1.67
+8
Goal Diff.
+6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
25 15 7 3 +33 52
2
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki H
25 11 9 5 +10 42
3
Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów
25 12 5 8 +12 41
4
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
24 11 7 6 +16 40
5
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
24 11 7 6 +8 40
6
Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa A
25 11 7 7 +4 40
7
Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów
25 11 7 7 +4 40
8
Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica
25 11 5 9 +0 38
9
Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów
25 11 5 9 -1 38
10
ŁKS Łódź ŁKS Łódź
24 10 6 8 +0 36
11
Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom
24 10 5 9 +7 35
12
Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice
25 8 10 7 +3 34
13
Odra Opole Odra Opole
24 7 8 9 -7 29
14
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
24 6 9 9 -3 27
15
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
25 5 5 15 -18 20
16
Znicz Pruszków Znicz Pruszków
24 5 5 14 -22 20
17
Górnik Łęczna Górnik Łęczna
25 2 10 13 -20 16
18
Tychy 71 Tychy 71
24 3 5 16 -26 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record