Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone D April 3, 2026
Pistoiese

Pistoiese

42
FT
Crema

Crema

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Pistoiese
Rank#2
Played29
Points63
PPG2.17
Goal Diff33
W D W W W
Crema
10#Rank
29Played
37Points
1.28PPG
-5Goal Diff
D L D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.91
2-0
11.8%
8.46
1-1
11.5%
8.73
2-1
9.4%
10.68
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pistoiese 52% · 1.91
Draw 33% · 3.05
Crema 15% · 6.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.29 Under 56% · 1.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44 Under 30% · 3.3
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.43 Under 77% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pistoiese Pistoiese
W D W W W
Crema Crema
D L D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Pistoiese
Stat
Crema
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.79
#2
League Pos.
#10
63 pts
Points
37 pts
2.17
Points / Game
1.28
+33
Goal Diff.
-5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record