Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone D March 22, 2026
Piacenza

Piacenza

30
FT
Progresso

Progresso

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Piacenza
Rank#4
Played27
Points51
PPG1.89
Goal Diff19
W W L W L
Progresso
12#Rank
27Played
28Points
1.04PPG
-6Goal Diff
L L D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.63
1-1
11.9%
8.4
2-0
10.4%
9.62
2-1
9.4%
10.59
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.11
NO 53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Piacenza 50% · 2.0
Draw 33% · 3.02
Progresso 17% · 5.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.2 Under 55% · 1.83
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.16 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Piacenza Piacenza
W W L W L
Progresso Progresso
L L D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Piacenza
Stat
Progresso
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#4
League Pos.
#12
51 pts
Points
28 pts
1.89
Points / Game
1.04
+19
Goal Diff.
-6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record