Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 March 14, 2026
Peña Sport

Peña Sport

10
FT
Valle Egüés

Valle Egüés

We predicted

Peña Sport 4+ 47% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Peña Sport 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 47%
Team Context
Peña Sport
Rank#1
Played24
Points54
PPG2.25
Goal Diff18
W W D L W
Valle Egüés
12#Rank
25Played
29Points
1.16PPG
-8Goal Diff
D W D W D
Most Likely Scores
Peña Sport 4+
21.5%
2-1
9.6%
10.43
2-0
8.4%
11.89
1-1
7.9%
12.71
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.63
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Peña Sport 53% · 1.88
Draw 25% · 4.01
Valle Egüés 22% · 4.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.22
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15 Under 13% · 7.71
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Peña Sport Peña Sport
W W D L W
Valle Egüés Valle Egüés
D W D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Peña Sport
Stat
Valle Egüés
2.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#1
League Pos.
#12
54 pts
Points
29 pts
2.25
Points / Game
1.16
+18
Goal Diff.
-8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record