Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 April 2, 2026
Pasaia KE

Pasaia KE

00
FT
Santurtzi

Santurtzi

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 2 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Pasaia KE
Rank#13
Played28
Points31
PPG1.11
Goal Diff-10
L W D L D
Santurtzi
12#Rank
28Played
31Points
1.11PPG
-9Goal Diff
L W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.3%
6.99
1-1
12.5%
7.99
2-0
10.2%
9.81
0-0
10.0%
9.96
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pasaia KE 48% · 2.09
Draw 34% · 2.92
Santurtzi 18% · 5.6
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.48 Under 60% · 1.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.0 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
L W D L D
Santurtzi Santurtzi
L W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Pasaia KE
Stat
Santurtzi
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#13
League Pos.
#12
31 pts
Points
31 pts
1.11
Points / Game
1.11
-10
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi A
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE H
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record