Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 14, 2026
Pasaia KE
1–1
FT
Lagun Onak
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Pasaia KE
Rank#15
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-15
L
D
W
L
D
Lagun Onak
5#Rank
24Played
41Points
1.71PPG
14Goal Diff
D
D
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.58
1-0
12.1%
8.27
0-1
10.8%
9.23
0-0
9.9%
10.09
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.14
NO
53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pasaia KE
39% · 2.56
Draw
28% · 3.54
Lagun Onak
33% · 3.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46
Under 59% · 1.69
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.05
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.93
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Pasaia KE
L
D
W
L
D
Lagun Onak
D
D
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Pasaia KE
Stat
Lagun Onak
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#15
League Pos.
#5
24 pts
Points
41 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.71
-15
Goal Diff.
+14
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Pasaia KE
Draw
Lagun Onak
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | +39 | 63 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 44 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
A
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +13 | 43 |
| 5 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
San Ignacio
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 7 |
Derio
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Durango
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 11 |
Real Sociedad III
|
25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | -6 | 33 |
| 12 |
Eibar III
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 |
Santurtzi
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 16 |
Pasaia KE
H
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.