UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League March 11, 2026
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

52
FT
Chelsea

Chelsea

We predicted

Paris Saint Germain 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Paris Saint Germain 4+
|
Actual 5–2

Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Paris Saint Germain 4+ goals was spot on.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Paris Saint Germain
Rank#11
Played8
Points14
PPG1.75
Goal Diff10
D L D W L
Chelsea
6#Rank
8Played
16Points
2.0PPG
7Goal Diff
W W L W D
Most Likely Scores
Paris Saint Germain 4+
18.0%
2-1
9.9%
10.09
2-0
9.9%
10.12
1-1
8.8%
11.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.77
NO 43% · 2.3
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Paris Saint Germain 53% · 1.89
Draw 26% · 3.92
Chelsea 21% · 4.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
D L D W L
Chelsea Chelsea
W W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Paris Saint Germain
Stat
Chelsea
2.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#11
League Pos.
#6
14 pts
Points
16 pts
1.75
Points / Game
2.0
+10
Goal Diff.
+7

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record