Ligue 1 Ligue 1 May 16, 2026
Paris FC

Paris FC

19:00
VS
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Predicted score

Paris Saint Germain 4+ 47% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 16 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 47%
Team Context
Paris FC
Rank#13
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-12
D W D L D
Paris Saint Germain
1#Rank
25Played
57Points
2.28PPG
32Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
Paris Saint Germain 4+
19.8%
0-2
11.3%
8.89
1-2
9.7%
10.3
0-1
9.7%
10.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.92
NO 48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Paris FC 11% · 8.76
Draw 29% · 3.49
Paris Saint Germain 60% · 1.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.63 Under 38% · 2.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.76
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.56 Under 61% · 1.64

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Paris FC Paris FC
D W D L D
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
L W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Paris FC
Stat
Paris Saint Germain
0.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.33
#13
League Pos.
#1
27 pts
Points
57 pts
1.08
Points / Game
2.28
-12
Goal Diff.
+32

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain A
26 19 3 4 +36 60
2
Lens Lens
27 19 2 6 +30 59
3
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
4
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
5
Lille Lille
27 14 5 8 +8 47
6
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
7
Rennes Rennes
27 12 8 7 +6 44
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
27 11 7 9 +10 40
9
Toulouse Toulouse
27 10 7 10 +6 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
27 10 6 11 -5 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC H
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
27 7 6 14 -20 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record