Serie A Serie A February 26, 2026
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

21
FT
Fluminense

Fluminense

We predicted

1-0 31% confidence
View full match details Thursday, February 26 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Palmeiras
Rank#2
Played38
Points76
PPG2.0
Goal Diff33
W W L D D
Fluminense
5#Rank
38Played
64Points
1.68PPG
11Goal Diff
W W W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.2%
5.21
0-0
18.2%
5.49
1-1
12.5%
8.02
0-1
11.9%
8.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 31% · 3.21
NO 69% · 1.45
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Palmeiras 45% · 2.24
Draw 33% · 3.03
Fluminense 22% · 4.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.11 Under 76% · 1.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
91%
Over 9% · 10.71 Under 91% · 1.1

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
W W L D D
Fluminense Fluminense
W W W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Palmeiras
Stat
Fluminense
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.65
#2
League Pos.
#5
76 pts
Points
64 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.68
+33
Goal Diff.
+11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Palmeiras
Draw
Fluminense
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras H
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense A
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record