Serie A
October 7, 2026
Palmeiras
20:00
VS
Bahia
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, October 7 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Palmeiras
Rank#1
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff7
W
W
W
D
Bahia
4#Rank
3Played
7Points
2.33PPG
2Goal Diff
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.5%
6.44
2-0
13.3%
7.53
1-1
10.7%
9.32
Palmeiras 4+
9.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.45
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Palmeiras
55% · 1.81
Draw
32% · 3.12
Bahia
13% · 7.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33
Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.24
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.55
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Palmeiras
W
W
W
D
Bahia
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Palmeiras
Stat
Bahia
1.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#1
League Pos.
#4
10 pts
Points
7 pts
2.5
Points / Game
2.33
+7
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Palmeiras
Draw
Bahia
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
H
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Fluminense
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
Bahia
A
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Sao Paulo
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.