Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 March 14, 2026
Palencia CF

Palencia CF

21
FT
Colegios Diocesanos

Colegios Diocesanos

We predicted

Palencia CF 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Palencia CF 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Palencia CF
Rank#2
Played25
Points52
PPG2.08
Goal Diff19
W L D W L
Colegios Diocesanos
12#Rank
24Played
27Points
1.13PPG
-9Goal Diff
L L W D W
Most Likely Scores
Palencia CF 4+
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
8.28
2-0
11.5%
8.67
1-1
10.3%
9.69
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.05
NO 51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Palencia CF 55% · 1.81
Draw 31% · 3.22
Colegios Diocesanos 14% · 7.28
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.08
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.2
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.36 Under 70% · 1.42

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Palencia CF Palencia CF
W L D W L
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
L L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Palencia CF
Stat
Colegios Diocesanos
1.91
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#2
League Pos.
#12
52 pts
Points
27 pts
2.08
Points / Game
1.13
+19
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
26 18 6 2 +32 60
2
Palencia CF Palencia CF H
26 17 4 5 +20 55
3
Guijuelo Guijuelo
25 15 6 4 +15 51
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
26 15 4 7 +18 49
5
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
26 15 5 7 +18 49
6
Mirandés II Mirandés II
26 11 6 9 +10 39
7
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
25 10 9 6 -2 39
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
24 10 6 8 +1 36
9
Almazán Almazán
24 8 11 5 +7 35
10
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
26 9 5 12 -2 32
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
24 7 6 11 -8 27
12
Bembibre Bembibre
26 7 6 13 -9 27
13
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos A
25 7 6 12 -10 27
14
Arandina Arandina
26 6 7 13 -16 25
15
Mojados Mojados
25 4 8 13 -23 20
16
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
25 5 4 16 -16 19
17
Numancia II Numancia II
25 5 4 16 -21 19
18
Unionistas II Unionistas II
24 1 12 11 -14 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record