Super League
March 21, 2026
Nzoia Sugar
12:00
VS
Mwatate United
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Nzoia Sugar
Rank#12
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff6
L
W
D
W
L
Mwatate United
18#Rank
24Played
18Points
0.75PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.7%
6.0
2-0
12.4%
8.05
1-1
11.7%
8.56
0-0
11.2%
8.95
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.56
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nzoia Sugar
52% · 1.93
Draw
34% · 2.96
Mwatate United
15% · 6.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67
Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55
Under 36% · 2.8
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.61
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nzoia Sugar
L
W
D
W
L
Mwatate United
L
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Nzoia Sugar
Stat
Mwatate United
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.7
#12
League Pos.
#18
33 pts
Points
18 pts
1.38
Points / Game
0.75
+6
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
Nzoia Sugar
Draw
Mwatate United
4
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mombasa Elite
|
24 | 17 | 1 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 2 |
Migori Youth
|
24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
MOFA
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 41 |
| 4 |
Equity Bank
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 40 |
| 5 |
3K
|
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +16 | 40 |
| 6 |
Fortune Sacco
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 |
Talanta
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 8 |
Kibera Black Stars
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Naivas
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 34 |
| 10 |
Soy United
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |
Nairobi City Stars
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | +3 | 33 |
| 12 |
Nzoia Sugar
H
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | +6 | 33 |
| 13 |
Gucha Stars
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 29 |
| 14 |
Luanda Villa
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Kabati Youth FC
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 |
Kisumu All Stars
|
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 |
Darajani Gogo
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 |
Mwatate United
A
|
24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 |
Vihiga United FC
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |
MCF
|
21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -10 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.