Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 March 15, 2026
Numancia

Numancia

01
FT
Atlético Astorga

Atlético Astorga

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Numancia
Rank#7
Played26
Points40
PPG1.54
Goal Diff7
D W L W D
Atlético Astorga
9#Rank
26Played
36Points
1.38PPG
1Goal Diff
W W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.04
1-0
12.1%
8.26
2-1
9.2%
10.93
2-0
8.9%
11.24
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.02
NO 51% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Numancia 32% · 3.09
Draw 34% · 2.96
Atlético Astorga 34% · 2.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.2 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.14 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Numancia Numancia
D W L W D
Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga
W W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Numancia
Stat
Atlético Astorga
1.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#7
League Pos.
#9
40 pts
Points
36 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.38
+7
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II
27 15 9 3 +26 54
2
Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II
27 15 7 5 +17 52
3
Gimnástica Segoviana Gimnástica Segoviana
27 13 8 6 +6 47
4
Salamanca UDS Salamanca UDS
27 12 7 8 +9 43
5
Coruxo Coruxo
27 12 5 10 +6 41
6
UD Ourense UD Ourense
27 11 8 8 +2 41
7
Real Ávila Real Ávila
27 11 8 8 -1 41
8
Numancia Numancia H
27 11 7 9 +6 40
9
Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga A
27 11 6 10 +2 39
10
Bergantiños Bergantiños
27 10 8 9 +4 38
11
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
27 8 10 9 +2 34
12
Racing Santander II Racing Santander II
27 6 14 7 +8 32
13
Sarriana Sarriana
27 9 5 13 -2 32
14
Langreo Langreo
27 8 8 11 -7 32
15
Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II
27 7 8 12 -6 29
16
Burgos Promesas Burgos Promesas
27 5 10 12 -16 25
17
Lealtad Lealtad
27 6 6 15 -16 24
18
Sámano Sámano
27 3 6 18 -40 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record