Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
April 5, 2026
Numancia II
16:00
VS
Palencia CF
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Numancia II
Rank#15
Played28
Points23
PPG0.82
Goal Diff-18
W
D
L
L
L
Palencia CF
4#Rank
28Played
55Points
1.96PPG
18Goal Diff
L
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.8%
7.82
0-1
10.9%
9.17
1-0
9.6%
10.42
1-2
8.5%
11.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Numancia II
24% · 4.22
Draw
34% · 2.93
Palencia CF
42% · 2.37
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19
Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4
Under 29% · 3.48
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.12
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Numancia II
W
D
L
L
L
Palencia CF
L
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Numancia II
Stat
Palencia CF
1.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.33
#15
League Pos.
#4
23 pts
Points
55 pts
0.82
Points / Game
1.96
-18
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Numancia II
Draw
Palencia CF
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | +37 | 69 |
| 2 |
Guijuelo
|
29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | +19 | 60 |
| 3 |
Cristo Atlético
|
29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 56 |
| 4 |
UD Santa Marta
|
29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | +21 | 55 |
| 5 |
Palencia CF
A
|
28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | +18 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atlético Mansillés
|
28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | +0 | 44 |
| 7 |
Almazán
|
28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +8 | 41 |
| 8 |
La Virgen del Camino
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 |
Mirandés II
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 10 |
Colegios Diocesanos
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -13 | 33 |
| 11 |
Villaralbo
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 32 |
| 12 |
Cultural Leonesa II
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 |
Arandina
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 |
Bembibre
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Mojados
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 24 |
| 16 |
Numancia II
H
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 |
Unionistas II
|
29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | -12 | 22 |
| 18 |
Becerril Campos
|
29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -17 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.