Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
March 21, 2026
Numancia II
16:00
VS
Arandina
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Numancia II
Rank#17
Played25
Points19
PPG0.76
Goal Diff-21
L
L
W
L
L
Arandina
14#Rank
26Played
25Points
0.96PPG
-16Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.76
1-1
13.3%
7.53
0-0
12.6%
7.94
0-1
11.3%
8.85
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.44
NO
59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Numancia II
29% · 3.41
Draw
36% · 2.79
Arandina
35% · 2.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92
Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63
Under 39% · 2.58
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.41
Under 84% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Numancia II
L
L
W
L
L
Arandina
L
L
W
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Numancia II
Stat
Arandina
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#17
League Pos.
#14
19 pts
Points
25 pts
0.76
Points / Game
0.96
-21
Goal Diff.
-16
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Numancia II
Draw
Arandina
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palencia CF
|
26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | +20 | 55 |
| 3 |
Guijuelo
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |
UD Santa Marta
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 |
Cristo Atlético
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 49 |
| 6 |
Mirandés II
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 |
Atlético Mansillés
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 |
Almazán
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 38 |
| 9 |
La Virgen del Camino
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 37 |
| 10 |
Cultural Leonesa II
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 |
Villaralbo
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 |
Bembibre
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 |
Colegios Diocesanos
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Arandina
A
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Mojados
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 |
Becerril Campos
|
26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 |
Numancia II
H
|
25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 |
Unionistas II
|
26 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.