League Two League Two March 14, 2026
Notts County

Notts County

23
FT
Chesterfield

Chesterfield

We predicted

Notts County 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Notts County 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Notts County
Rank#4
Played35
Points64
PPG1.83
Goal Diff20
W L W L D
Chesterfield
8#Rank
36Played
56Points
1.56PPG
10Goal Diff
L W L D W
Most Likely Scores
Notts County 4+
17.3%
2-0
12.3%
8.1
1-0
11.2%
8.9
2-1
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Notts County 56% · 1.8
Draw 25% · 3.98
Chesterfield 19% · 5.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26 Under 20% · 4.91
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Notts County Notts County
W L W L D
Chesterfield Chesterfield
L W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Notts County
Stat
Chesterfield
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#4
League Pos.
#8
64 pts
Points
56 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.56
+20
Goal Diff.
+10

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bromley Bromley
37 20 13 4 +24 73
2
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
37 20 11 6 +37 71
3
Cambridge United Cambridge United
36 19 11 6 +27 68
4
Notts County Notts County H
36 19 7 10 +19 64
5
Salford City Salford City
37 20 4 13 +5 64
6
Swindon Town Swindon Town
37 19 6 12 +15 63
7
Chesterfield Chesterfield A
37 15 14 8 +11 59
8
Grimsby Grimsby
36 15 11 10 +10 56
9
Crewe Crewe
37 16 8 13 +7 56
10
Walsall Walsall
37 16 8 13 +6 56
11
Colchester Colchester
36 14 11 11 +11 53
12
Barnet Barnet
37 14 11 12 +4 53
13
Oldham Oldham
35 13 13 9 +9 52
14
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
37 13 12 12 +2 51
15
Accrington ST Accrington ST
36 13 9 14 +1 48
16
Gillingham Gillingham
36 11 12 13 -9 45
17
Cheltenham Cheltenham
36 11 8 17 -19 41
18
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
37 11 8 18 -21 41
19
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
37 11 4 22 -22 37
20
Tranmere Tranmere
37 9 9 19 -17 36
21
Newport County Newport County
37 8 7 22 -26 31
22
Crawley Town Crawley Town
37 6 12 19 -23 30
23
Barrow Barrow
36 7 8 21 -20 29
24
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
37 6 9 22 -31 27

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record