Championship
April 21, 2026
Norwich
18:45
VS
Derby
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, April 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Norwich
Rank#17
Played35
Points45
PPG1.29
Goal Diff3
W
W
L
W
W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.75
1-0
11.5%
8.67
0-1
9.8%
10.17
0-0
8.8%
11.39
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.03
NO
51% · 1.97
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Norwich
39% · 2.59
Draw
30% · 3.29
Derby
31% · 3.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.28
Under 56% · 1.78
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43
Under 30% · 3.32
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.39
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Norwich
W
W
L
W
W
Derby
W
W
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Norwich
Stat
Derby
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#17
League Pos.
#7
45 pts
Points
54 pts
1.29
Points / Game
1.5
+3
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Norwich
Draw
Derby
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
A
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
H
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.