League One
March 14, 2026
Northampton
15:00
VS
Burton Albion
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Northampton
Rank#23
Played36
Points35
PPG0.97
Goal Diff-17
L
D
L
L
L
Burton Albion
17#Rank
36Played
40Points
1.11PPG
-12Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
1-0
12.1%
8.29
0-1
9.1%
10.98
2-1
8.9%
11.29
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.04
NO
51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Northampton
31% · 3.24
Draw
34% · 2.93
Burton Albion
35% · 2.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.26
Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.35
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.33
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Northampton
L
D
L
L
L
Burton Albion
L
D
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Northampton
Stat
Burton Albion
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#23
League Pos.
#17
35 pts
Points
40 pts
0.97
Points / Game
1.11
-17
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Northampton
Draw
Burton Albion
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln
|
36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | +35 | 77 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | +30 | 73 |
| 3 |
Bolton
|
36 | 17 | 13 | 6 | +17 | 64 |
| 4 |
Bradford
|
36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 64 |
| 5 |
Stockport County
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 56 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield
|
36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | +10 | 55 |
| 7 |
Reading
|
36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | +6 | 54 |
| 8 |
Stevenage
|
35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 54 |
| 9 |
Wycombe
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 10 |
Plymouth
|
36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | +3 | 52 |
| 11 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 49 |
| 12 |
Luton
|
36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | +1 | 48 |
| 13 |
Barnsley
|
34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +0 | 48 |
| 14 |
Peterborough
|
35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | +1 | 46 |
| 15 |
Mansfield Town
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +3 | 44 |
| 16 |
Exeter City
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -3 | 42 |
| 17 |
Burton Albion
A
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |
Doncaster
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -20 | 40 |
| 19 |
Leyton Orient
|
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 39 |
| 20 |
Wigan
|
35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 21 |
Blackpool
|
36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -17 | 38 |
| 22 |
Rotherham
|
35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | -15 | 35 |
| 23 |
Northampton
H
|
36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | -17 | 35 |
| 24 |
Port Vale
|
33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -20 | 27 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.