Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 21, 2026
Nice

Nice

04
FT
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

We predicted

Paris Saint Germain 4+ 49% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Paris Saint Germain 4+
|
Actual 0–4

Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Paris Saint Germain 4+ goals was spot on.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 49%
Team Context
Nice
Rank#15
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
L L D L D
Paris Saint Germain
1#Rank
25Played
57Points
2.28PPG
32Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
Paris Saint Germain 4+
21.6%
1-2
9.6%
10.37
0-2
8.9%
11.2
1-1
7.9%
12.66
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.66
NO 40% · 2.51
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nice 13% · 7.6
Draw 29% · 3.48
Paris Saint Germain 58% · 1.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.11
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.37
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.85

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Nice Nice
L L D L D
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
L W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Nice
Stat
Paris Saint Germain
1.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.44
#15
League Pos.
#1
24 pts
Points
57 pts
0.96
Points / Game
2.28
-18
Goal Diff.
+32

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Nice
Draw
Paris Saint Germain
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lens Lens
27 19 2 6 +30 59
2
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain A
25 18 3 4 +32 57
3
Marseille Marseille
26 15 4 7 +20 49
4
Lyon Lyon
26 14 5 7 +13 47
5
Lille Lille
26 13 5 8 +7 44
6
Monaco Monaco
26 13 4 9 +8 43
7
Rennes Rennes
26 12 7 7 +6 43
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
26 10 7 9 +9 37
9
Lorient Lorient
26 9 10 7 -3 37
10
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
26 10 6 10 -2 36
11
Toulouse Toulouse
26 9 7 10 +5 34
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
26 6 10 10 -12 28
14
Le Havre Le Havre
26 6 9 11 -12 27
15
Nice Nice H
26 7 6 13 -16 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
26 4 7 15 -17 19
17
Nantes Nantes
25 4 5 16 -20 17
18
Metz Metz
26 3 4 19 -35 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record