Ligue 1
February 22, 2026
Nice
3–3
FT
Lorient
We predicted
1-1
27% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 22 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
3–3
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Team Context
Nice
Rank#14
Played22
Points23
PPG1.05
Goal Diff-13
L
D
D
W
L
Lorient
10#Rank
22Played
31Points
1.41PPG
-4Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.63
1-0
11.8%
8.45
0-1
10.5%
9.57
0-0
9.5%
10.58
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.09
NO
52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nice
40% · 2.52
Draw
28% · 3.59
Lorient
33% · 3.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.38
Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.71
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nice
L
D
D
W
L
Lorient
W
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Nice
Stat
Lorient
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.11
#14
League Pos.
#10
23 pts
Points
31 pts
1.05
Points / Game
1.41
-13
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Nice
Draw
Lorient
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
A
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
H
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.