Iraqi League
March 18, 2026
Newroz
18:00
VS
Al-Qasim
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 18 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Newroz
Rank#12
Played22
Points28
PPG1.27
Goal Diff-3
W
L
W
W
L
Al-Qasim
20#Rank
22Played
2Points
0.09PPG
-44Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.3%
8.16
Newroz 4+
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
8.78
1-1
10.6%
9.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.05
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Newroz
54% · 1.84
Draw
31% · 3.19
Al-Qasim
14% · 7.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96
Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.47
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Newroz
W
L
W
W
L
Al-Qasim
L
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Newroz
Stat
Al-Qasim
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#12
League Pos.
#20
28 pts
Points
2 pts
1.27
Points / Game
0.09
-3
Goal Diff.
-44
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Newroz
Draw
Al-Qasim
6
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | +21 | 55 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +22 | 48 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 47 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 44 |
| 5 |
Al-Karma
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +16 | 42 |
| 6 |
Zakho
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 40 |
| 7 |
Al Zawra'a
|
22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 |
Al Karkh
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 9 |
Duhok
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Diyala
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 11 |
Gharraf
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |
Naft
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Newroz
H
|
22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 |
Mosul
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 |
Naft Maysan
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 |
Baghdad
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
A
|
22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -44 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.