Major League Soccer Major League Soccer May 16, 2026
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

23:30
VS
New York City FC

New York City FC

Predicted score

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 16 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
New York Red Bulls
Rank#10
Played34
Points43
PPG1.26
Goal Diff1
L L L W L
New York City FC
5#Rank
34Played
56Points
1.65PPG
6Goal Diff
L L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.71
0-1
10.8%
9.3
1-0
10.5%
9.53
0-0
8.7%
11.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
New York Red Bulls 25% · 3.94
Draw 34% · 2.9
New York City FC 40% · 2.49
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.35 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
L L L W L
New York City FC New York City FC
L L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

New York Red Bulls
Stat
New York City FC
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.24
#10
League Pos.
#5
43 pts
Points
56 pts
1.26
Points / Game
1.65
+1
Goal Diff.
+6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record