Premier League Premier League March 15, 2026
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

0–2
LIVE
Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl

Predicted score

0-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Negelle Arsi
Rank#3
Played23
Points38
PPG1.65
Goal Diff8
D D L D W
Mebrat Hayl
6#Rank
23Played
34Points
1.48PPG
4Goal Diff
W W L D D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
22.5%
4.45
1-0
18.1%
5.53
0-1
15.5%
6.47
1-1
12.5%
8.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 28% · 3.63
NO 72% · 1.38
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Negelle Arsi 39% · 2.56
Draw 40% · 2.5
Mebrat Hayl 21% · 4.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.28 Under 81% · 1.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
94%
Over 6% · 15.43 Under 94% · 1.07

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
D D L D W
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
W W L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Negelle Arsi
Stat
Mebrat Hayl
0.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#3
League Pos.
#6
38 pts
Points
34 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.48
+8
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
0 W
Negelle Arsi
Draw
Mebrat Hayl
0 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
24 12 9 3 +16 45
2
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
24 11 7 6 +10 40
3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi H
23 10 8 5 +8 38
4
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
24 9 9 6 +10 36
5
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
24 8 11 5 +2 35
6
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl A
23 8 10 5 +4 34
7
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
24 7 12 5 -1 33
8
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
23 9 5 9 -1 32
9
Bahardar Bahardar
24 6 13 5 +0 31
10
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
24 7 9 8 +0 30
11
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
24 6 12 6 +0 30
12
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
24 7 8 9 -5 29
13
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
24 6 10 8 +1 28
14
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
24 6 10 8 -6 28
15
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
24 6 10 8 -8 28
16
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
24 6 9 9 -3 27
17
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
23 5 11 7 +0 26
18
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
23 6 7 10 -4 25
19
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
23 4 10 9 -10 22
20
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
24 3 10 11 -13 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record