Liga MX Liga MX February 22, 2026
Necaxa

Necaxa

03
FT
Toluca

Toluca

We predicted

0-1 29% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 0–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Necaxa
Rank#10
Played6
Points9
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
W W L L L
Toluca
5#Rank
6Played
12Points
2.0PPG
4Goal Diff
W D D D W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.1%
7.07
0-2
12.6%
7.96
1-1
10.7%
9.35
Toluca 4+
10.2%
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.27
NO 56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Necaxa 16% · 6.44
Draw 23% · 4.38
Toluca 62% · 1.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.56
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.03 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Necaxa Necaxa
W W L L L
Toluca Toluca
W D D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Necaxa
Stat
Toluca
0.76
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.78
#10
League Pos.
#5
9 pts
Points
12 pts
1.5
Points / Game
2.0
+1
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
Necaxa
Draw
Toluca
24 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca A
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa H
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record