Liga MX Liga MX April 23, 2026
Necaxa

Necaxa

03:00
VS
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Predicted score

0-1 42% confidence
View full match details Thursday, April 23 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Necaxa
Rank#16
Played10
Points9
PPG0.9
Goal Diff-5
L L L L W
Guadalajara Chivas
3#Rank
9Played
21Points
2.33PPG
5Goal Diff
W L L W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.9%
6.72
0-2
12.4%
8.06
1-1
11.2%
8.95
1-2
9.3%
10.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.34
NO 57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Necaxa 10% · 10.01
Draw 34% · 2.9
Guadalajara Chivas 56% · 1.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31 Under 57% · 1.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.28
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.47 Under 78% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Necaxa Necaxa
L L L L W
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W L L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Necaxa
Stat
Guadalajara Chivas
0.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.67
#16
League Pos.
#3
9 pts
Points
21 pts
0.9
Points / Game
2.33
-5
Goal Diff.
+5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Necaxa
Draw
Guadalajara Chivas
17 total goals
5 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record