Eredivisie Eredivisie February 11, 2026
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

13
FT
Utrecht

Utrecht

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, February 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.58
1-0
9.5%
10.57
2-1
9.3%
10.76
2-0
7.5%
13.26
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.77
NO 44% · 2.29
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
NEC Nijmegen 46% · 2.19
Draw 25% · 4.04
Utrecht 30% · 3.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87 Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.2 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

NEC Nijmegen
Stat
Utrecht
1.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
4 W
NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Utrecht
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
27 22 2 3 +43 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
27 16 4 7 +21 52
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen H
27 14 7 6 +22 49
4
Ajax Ajax
27 12 11 4 +18 47
5
Twente Twente
27 11 11 5 +16 44
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
27 12 6 9 +5 42
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
27 11 7 9 +3 40
8
Utrecht Utrecht A
27 10 8 9 +9 38
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
27 11 5 11 -14 38
10
Groningen Groningen
27 10 5 12 +0 35
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
27 10 5 12 -8 35
12
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
27 7 11 9 +2 32
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
27 7 9 11 -16 30
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
27 7 6 14 -16 27
15
Excelsior Excelsior
27 7 5 15 -18 26
16
Telstar Telstar
27 5 9 13 -10 24
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
27 5 8 14 -20 23
18
Heracles Heracles
27 5 3 19 -37 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record