Eredivisie
February 7, 2026
NEC Nijmegen
4–1
FT
Heracles
We predicted
NEC Nijmegen 4+
29% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
NEC Nijmegen 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — NEC Nijmegen 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
29%
Team Context
NEC Nijmegen
Rank#3
Played20
Points38
PPG1.9
Goal Diff18
W
W
W
D
D
Heracles
16#Rank
21Played
17Points
0.81PPG
-23Goal Diff
W
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
NEC Nijmegen 4+
11.6%
1-1
9.9%
10.14
2-1
9.3%
10.74
1-0
7.0%
14.35
Both Teams To Score
YES
64% · 1.56
NO
36% · 2.79
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
NEC Nijmegen
49% · 2.06
Draw
22% · 4.45
Heracles
29% · 3.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.78
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.3
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39
Under 58% · 1.72
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
W
W
W
D
D
Heracles
W
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
NEC Nijmegen
Stat
Heracles
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.41
#3
League Pos.
#16
38 pts
Points
17 pts
1.9
Points / Game
0.81
+18
Goal Diff.
-23
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Heracles
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
H
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
A
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.