Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
April 5, 2026
Navalcarnero
1–1
LIVE
Rayo Majadahonda
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Navalcarnero
Rank#11
Played29
Points36
PPG1.24
Goal Diff-4
L
L
W
L
W
Rayo Majadahonda
2#Rank
29Played
57Points
1.97PPG
22Goal Diff
L
D
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.66
1-0
11.2%
8.94
0-1
10.6%
9.43
0-0
9.1%
11.01
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.05
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Navalcarnero
27% · 3.76
Draw
35% · 2.89
Rayo Majadahonda
39% · 2.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33
Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.24
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.53
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Navalcarnero
L
L
W
L
W
Rayo Majadahonda
L
D
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Navalcarnero
Stat
Rayo Majadahonda
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#11
League Pos.
#2
36 pts
Points
57 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.97
-4
Goal Diff.
+22
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
4 D
1 W
Navalcarnero
Draw
Rayo Majadahonda
3
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SS Reyes
|
30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +23 | 63 |
| 2 |
Rayo Majadahonda
A
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | +23 | 60 |
| 3 |
Getafe II
|
30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 4 |
Conquense
|
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |
CD Coria
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 |
Tenerife II
|
30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | +5 | 47 |
| 7 |
RSD Alcalá
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 |
Orihuela
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 43 |
| 9 |
Elche II
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 38 |
| 10 |
Las Palmas II
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | +0 | 38 |
| 11 |
Intercity
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 |
Navalcarnero
H
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 |
Fuenlabrada
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Quintanar del Rey
|
30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 |
Real Madrid III
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 |
Colonia Moscardó
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 |
Socuéllamos
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Rayo Vallecano II
|
30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | -27 | 27 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.