Serie A Serie A March 14, 2026
Napoli

Napoli

21
FT
Lecce

Lecce

We predicted

1-0 44% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Napoli
Rank#3
Played28
Points56
PPG2.0
Goal Diff14
W W L D W
Lecce
16#Rank
28Played
27Points
0.96PPG
-17Goal Diff
W L L W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.0%
5.89
2-0
16.6%
6.04
Napoli 4+
13.1%
3-0
10.8%
9.29
Both Teams To Score
YES 33% · 2.99
NO 67% · 1.5
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Napoli 61% · 1.63
Draw 30% · 3.38
Lecce 9% · 11.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.39 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Napoli Napoli
W W L D W
Lecce Lecce
W L L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Napoli
Stat
Lecce
1.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.49
#3
League Pos.
#16
56 pts
Points
27 pts
2.0
Points / Game
0.96
+14
Goal Diff.
-17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
Napoli
Draw
Lecce
6 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
29 22 2 5 +42 68
2
AC Milan AC Milan
29 17 9 3 +23 60
3
Napoli Napoli H
29 18 5 6 +15 59
4
Como Como
29 15 9 5 +26 54
5
Juventus Juventus
29 15 8 6 +23 53
6
AS Roma AS Roma
29 16 3 10 +16 51
7
Atalanta Atalanta
29 12 11 6 +13 47
8
Bologna Bologna
29 12 6 11 +4 42
9
Lazio Lazio
29 10 10 9 +1 40
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
29 11 5 13 -4 38
11
Udinese Udinese
29 10 6 13 -9 36
12
Parma Parma
29 8 10 11 -15 34
13
Genoa Genoa
29 8 9 12 -4 33
14
Torino Torino
29 9 6 14 -18 33
15
Cagliari Cagliari
29 7 9 13 -10 30
16
Fiorentina Fiorentina
29 6 10 13 -9 28
17
Lecce Lecce A
29 7 6 16 -18 27
18
Cremonese Cremonese
29 5 9 15 -21 24
19
Pisa Pisa
29 2 12 15 -26 18
20
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
29 3 9 17 -29 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record