UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League January 28, 2026
Napoli

Napoli

23
FT
Chelsea

Chelsea

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, January 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.7%
9.33
1-2
8.9%
11.21
Chelsea 4+
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
12.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Napoli 34% · 2.97
Draw 24% · 4.22
Chelsea 43% · 2.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Napoli
Stat
Chelsea
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.66

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
2 W
Napoli
Draw
Chelsea
14 total goals
3 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 0 0 +19 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 0 1 +14 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 0 2 +12 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 2 1 +10 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 1 2 +8 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea A
8 5 1 2 +7 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 1 2 +6 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 1 2 +6 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 0 3 +9 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 0 3 +8 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 2 2 +10 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 2 2 +10 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 4 1 +4 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 1 3 +2 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 1 3 +0 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 3 2 -1 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 2 3 +2 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 2 3 -4 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 1 4 -2 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 1 4 -2 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 4 2 -6 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 1 4 -8 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 3 3 -1 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 0 5 -2 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 0 5 -3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 3 3 -3 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 0 5 -9 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 2 4 +0 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 2 4 -5 8
30
Napoli Napoli H
8 2 2 4 -6 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 2 4 -9 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 0 6 -13 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 1 6 -11 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3 5 -14 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1 7 -13 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1 7 -15 1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record